Encuesta Redondo: Unidos Podemos, segundo en votos, no en escaños

Encuesta Redondo: Unidos Podemos, segundo en votos, no en escaños

El PP volvería a ser el partido más votado · El PSOE sería segunda fuerza en escaños, pero no así en votos donde sería superado por Unidos Podemos · Ciudadanos subiría en apoyo popular, pero perdería dos escaños respecto al 20D ·

Encuesta Elecciones Generales Redondo y Asociados Tiempo 20 Mayo 2016

Nueva encuesta electoral de Redondo y Asociados para la Revista Tiempo de cara a las Elecciones Generales que se celebrarán el 26 de junio en nuestro país. En ella ya se incluye la confluencia de Unidos Podemos de manera oficial. En la estimación que se hizo hace mes y medio se incluyó, aunque el anuncio de los partidos que lo forman no se había hecho de manera oficial.

Pocos cambios respecto al sondeo de abril

El Partido Popular seguiría siendo la fuerza más votada si se celebraran unas nuevas elecciones obteniendo un 29,4% de los votos lo que significaría siete décimas más de lo que obtenía el pasado mes de diciembre. Esta estimación se traduciría en 126 escaños para el partido que lidera Mariano Rajoy, es decir, tres más de lo que obtuviera el 20D y uno más respecto a la estimación que comentamos previamente publicada el 7 de abril.

La segunda fuerza en escaños, que no en votos, sería el PSOE de Pedro Sánchez que obtendría 82 escaños, ocho menos de los que obtenía en las pasadas elecciones de diciembre, pese a sólo perder 8 décimas.

Unidos Podemos sería el segundo partido más votado según Redondo y Asociados

Algo que sorprende, aunque cada vez menos viendo las últimas encuestas, es el conocido como sorpasso del partido de Pablo Iglesias, Alberto Garzón y demás confluencias al Partido Socialista. Unidos Podemos, obtendría según la estimación de Redondo y Asociados 79 escaños, ocho más de los obtenidos por Podemos en diciembre, seis más si le sumamos los dos que conseguía Izquierda Unida en la circunscripción de Madrid.

En la pasada encuesta que publicaba la Revista Tiempo conseguía parecidos resultados tanto en escaños, uno menos, como en porcetanje de voto tres décimas menos por lo que parece que estamos ante una situación, a priori, estable para el partido de izquierda.

Por su parte, Ciudadanos perdería dos escaños respecto a las pasadas elecciones quedándose en los 38 escaños. Esto se produce pese a aumentar en poco más de un punto su intención de voto.

Los resultados completos de la encuesta de Redondo y Asociados para la revista Tiempo son los siguientes:

  • Partido Popular (PP): 29,4% (126 escaños)
  • Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE): 21,2% (82 escaños)
  • Unidos Podemos (UP): 24,3 (79 escaños)
  • Ciudadanos (C’s): 15,1% (38 escaños)
  • ERC: 9 escaños
  • CDC: 7 escaños
  • PNV – EAJ: 6 escaños
  • EH-Bildu: 2 escaños
  • CC: 1 escaño

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