Encuesta El Mundo: el PP, mejor que el 20D; Unidos Podemos, segundo

Encuesta El Mundo: el PP, mejor que el 20D; Unidos Podemos, segundo

El PP ganará el 26J y crecería en escaños · Unidos Podemos, consolida el sorpasso sobre el PSOE que podría perder hasta 17 escaños · Cs podría quedarse igual o perder 5 escaños

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Encuesta Elecciones Generales El Mundo SigmaDos 18 junio 2016

Encuesta electoral de Sigma Dos para el periódico de tirada nacional El Mundo y que deja un panorama posterior al 26J cuanto menos complicado.

El Partido Popular, con Mariano Rajoy, volvería a ser la fuerza más votada aumentando en casi 2 puntos lo obtenido el pasado mes de diciembre. Este incremento en la intención de voto se vería reflejado en el número de escaños donde, de los 123 actuales, pasaría a tener entre 124 y 129.

Segundo sería Unidos Podemos tanto en votos como escaños dejando claro que, a una semana de las elecciones, lo raro es que no se diera el sorpasso. La unión de izquierdas, se quedaría a las puertas del 25% y con entre 86 y 92 escaños.

El PSOE caería con estrépito y podría perder 17 escaños ó 12 en el mejor de los casos, siempre según Sigma Dos. En cuanto a porcentaje de voto, caería 2 puntos quedándose en el 20%.

Ciudadanos, con una subida de tan sólo dos décimas respecto a lo obtenido el pasado mes de diciembre, podría quedarse con los 40 actuales o perder hasta 5 escaños.

Si hablamos de pactos, esta sería la suma de estos partidos en el mejor de los casos:

  • PP + PSOE + Ciudadanos: 247
  • PP + PSOE: 207
  • Unidos Podemos + PSOE: 170
  • PP + Ciudadanos: 169
  • PSOE + Ciudadanos: 118

Los resultados de esta encuesta de Sigma Dos para El Mundo son los siguientes:

  • Partido Popular (PP): 124-129 escaños (30,5%).
  • Unidos Podemos: 86-92 escaños (24,8%).
  • Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE): 73-78 escaños (20%).
  • Ciudadanos (Cs): 35-40 escaños (14,1%).
  • ERC: 8-9 escaños (2,4%).
  • CDC: 5-6 escaños (1,8%).
  • PNV: 4-6 escaños (1,2%).
  • EH Bildu: 2 escaños.
  • CC: 0-1 escaños.

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