Encuesta La Razón: Unidos Podemos podría pasar al PSOE, también en escaños

Encuesta La Razón: Unidos Podemos podría pasar al PSOE, también en escaños

El PP sigue subiendo y llegaría hasta el 30,5% de los votos · Resultado parejo, en escaños, entre Unidos Podemos y PSOE · Ciudadanos continúa cayendo y podría perder respecto al 20D

Encuesta Elecciones Generales La Razón NC Report 30 Mayo 2016

El periódico La Razón publica un nuevo tracking de NC Report de cara a las Elecciones Generales del 26J en el que deja por primera vez claro que el conocido como sorpasso de Unidos Podemos al PSOE es posible.

El PP sigue creciendo

Como viene sucediendo en las últimas publicaciones semanales de la Razón, el PP continúa creciendo poco a poco. El partido de Mariano Rajoy llegaría al 30,5%, lo que sería casi dos puntos más que el 20D. Esto en escaños se traduciría en una horquilla de entre 124 y 130 con lo que superaría lo obtenido el pasado mes de diciembre.

Unidos Podemos pasa al PSOE en escaños y votos

Por primera vez, La Razón asegura que el partido de Pablo Iglesias podria superar en escaños al Partido Socialista. Eso sí, se tratarían de horquillas muy parecidas para ambos partidos:

  • Unidos Podemos: 79-84 escaños
  • PSOE: 80-82 escaños

Por tanto, no es seguro que se produzca el famoso sorpasso de Podemos aunque es probable según lo que nos indica NC Reports en este estudio. Esto se produciría aún habiendo perdido dos décimas (24,7%) la coalición morada y reduciéndose en cuatro la diferencia entre estos y el partido de Pedro Sánchez que se quedaría en 21,3%.

Ciudadanos sigue cayendo

Desde que a principios de abril, Ciudadanos, lograra llegar al 15,8% de los votos no ha hecho sino comenzar una caída libre que aún hoy continúa. Por sexto estudio consecutivo, el partido de Albert Rivera cae respecto al estudio anterior y, en este, se quedaría en un 14,2% de los votos si se celebraran unas Elecciones Generales. Esto se traduciría en una horquilla de entre 38 y 40 escaños, por lo que, como mucho, lograrían igualar lo obtenido el pasado 20 de diciembre.

A continuación, dejamos los datos que arroja la encuesta:

  • Partido Popular (PP): 124-130 escaños (30,5%).
  • Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE): 80-82 escaños (21,3%).
  • Unidos Podemos: 79-84 escaños (24,7%).
  • Ciudadanos (Cs): 38-40 escaños (14,2%).
  • ERC: 5-6 (2,2%).
  • DiL: 5-6 (1,6%).
  • EAJ-PNV: 5-6 (1,1%).
  • EH Bildu: 2 (0,8%).
  • CC-PNC: 1 (0,3%).
  • Otros:  (3,1%).

Para ver los datos del tracking aquí.

123 Comentarios

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